Tuesday, April 27, 2010

The Swiss Franc

The Swiss franc is the only currency of a major European country that belongs neither to the European Monetary Union nor to the G-7 countries. Although the Swiss economy is relatively small, the Swiss franc is one of the four major currencies, closely resembling the strength and quality of the Swiss economy and finance. Switzerland has a very close economic relationship with Germany, and thus to the euro zone. Therefore, in terms of political uncertainty in the East, the Swiss franc is favored generally over the euro. Typically, it is believed that the Swiss franc is a stable currency. Actually, from a foreign exchange point of view, the Swiss franc closely resembles the patterns of the euro, but lacks its liquidity. As the demand for it exceeds supply, the Swiss franc can be more volatile than the euro.

The British Pound

Until the end of World War II, the pound was the currency of reference. The currency is heavily traded against the euro and the U.S. dollar, but has a spotty presence against other currencies. Prior to the introduction of the euro, both the pound benefited from any doubts about the currency convergence. After the introduction of the euro, Bank of England is attempting to bring the high U.K. rates closer to the lower rates in the euro zone. The pound could join the euro in the early 2000s, provided that the U.K. referendum is positive.

The Japanese Yen

The Japanese yen is the third most traded currency in the world; it has a much smaller international presence than the U.S. dollar or the euro. The yen is very liquid around the world, practically around the clock. The natural demand to trade the yen concentrated mostly among the Japanese keiretsu, the economic and financial conglomerates. The yen is much more sensitive to the fortunes of the Nikkei index, the Japanese stock market, and the real estate market.

The Euro

The euro was designed to become the premier currency in trading by simply being quoted in American terms. Like the U.S. dollar, the euro has a strong international presence stemming from members of the European Monetary Union. The currency remains lagued by unequal growth, high unemployment, and government resistance to structural changes. The pair was also weighed in 1999 and 2000 by outflows from foreign investors, particularly Japanese, who were forced to liquidate their losing investments in euro-denominated assets. Moreover, European money managers rebalanced their portfolios and reduced their euro exposure as their needs for hedging currency risk in Europe declined.

Introduction to Forex - Major Currencies

The U.S. Dollar.

The United States dollar is the world's main currency – an universal measure to evaluate any other currency traded on Forex. All currencies are generally quoted in U.S. dollar terms. Under conditions of international economic and political unrest, the U.S. dollar is the main safe-haven currency, which was proven particularly well during the Southeast Asian crisis of 1997-1998.

As it was indicated, the U.S. dollar became the leading currency toward the end of the Second World War along the Breton Woods Accord, as the other currencies were virtually pegged against it. The introduction of the euro in 1999 reduced the dollar's importance only marginally.

The other major currencies traded against the U.S. dollar are the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, and Swiss franc.

Foreign exchange hedge

A Foreign exchange hedge (FOREX hedge) is a method used by companies to eliminate or hedge foreign exchange risk resulting from transactions in foreign currencies; see Foreign exchange derivative. This is done using either the cash flow or the fair value method. The accounting rules for this are addressed by both the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and by the US Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (US GAAP).

Economic factors

These include: (a)economic policy, disseminated by government agencies and central banks, (b)economic conditions, generally revealed through economic reports, and other economic indicators.
Economic policy comprises government fiscal policy (budget/spending practices) and monetary policy (the means by which a government's central bank influences the supply and "cost" of money, which is reflected by the level of interest rates).
Government budget deficits or surpluses: The market usually reacts negatively to widening government budget deficits, and positively to narrowing budget deficits. The impact is reflected in the value of a country's currency.
Balance of trade levels and trends: The trade flow between countries illustrates the demand for goods and services, which in turn indicates demand for a country's currency to conduct trade. Surpluses and deficits in trade of goods and services reflect the competitiveness of a nation's economy. For example, trade deficits may have a negative impact on a nation's currency.
Inflation levels and trends: Typically a currency will lose value if there is a high level of inflation in the country or if inflation levels are perceived to be rising. This is because inflation erodes purchasing power, thus demand, for that particular currency. However, a currency may sometimes strengthen when inflation rises because of expectations that the central bank will raise short-term interest rates to combat rising inflation.
Economic growth and health: Reports such as GDP, employment levels, retail sales, capacity utilization and others, detail the levels of a country's economic growth and health. Generally, the more healthy and robust a country's economy, the better its currency will perform, and the more demand for it there will be.
Productivity of an economy: Increasing productivity in an economy should positively influence the value of its currency. Its effects are more prominent if the increase is in the traded sector

Determinants of FX rates

The following theories explain the fluctuations in FX rates in a floating exchange rate regime (In a fixed exchange rate regime, FX rates are decided by its government):
(a) International parity conditions: Relative Purchasing Power Parity, interest rate parity, Domestic Fisher effect, International Fisher effect. Though to some extent the above theories provide logical explanation for the fluctuations in exchange rates, yet these theories falter as they are based on challengeable assumptions [e.g., free flow of goods, services and capital] which seldom hold true in the real world.
(b) Balance of payments model (see exchange rate): This model, however, focuses largely on tradable goods and services, ignoring the increasing role of global capital flows. It failed to provide any explanation for continuous appreciation of dollar during 1980s and most part of 1990s in face of soaring US current account deficit.
(c) Asset market model (see exchange rate): views currencies as an important asset class for constructing investment portfolios. Assets prices are influenced mostly by people’s willingness to hold the existing quantities of assets, which in turn depends on their expectations on the future worth of these assets. The asset market model of exchange rate determination states that “the exchange rate between two currencies represents the price that just balances the relative supplies of, and demand for, assets denominated in those currencies.”

None of the models developed so far succeed to explain FX rates levels and volatility in the longer time frames. For shorter time frames (less than a few days) algorithm can be devised to predict prices. Large and small institutions and professional individual traders have made consistent profits from it. It is understood from above models that many macroeconomic factors affect the exchange rates and in the end currency prices are a result of dual forces of demand and supply. The world's currency markets can be viewed as a huge melting pot: in a large and ever-changing mix of current events, supply and demand factors are constantly shifting, and the price of one currency in relation to another shifts accordingly. No other market encompasses (and distills) as much of what is going on in the world at any given time as foreign exchange.

Supply and demand for any given currency, and thus its value, are not influenced by any single element, but rather by several. These elements generally fall into three categories: economic factors, political conditions and market psychology.

Trading characteristics

There is no unified or centrally cleared market for the majority of FX trades, and there is very little cross-border regulation. Due to the over-the-counter (OTC) nature of currency markets, there are rather a number of interconnected marketplaces, where different currencies instruments are traded. This implies that there is not a single exchange rate but rather a number of different rates (prices), depending on what bank or market maker is trading, and where it is. In practice the rates are often very close, otherwise they could be exploited by arbitrageurs instantaneously. Due to London's dominance in the market, a particular currency's quoted price is usually the London market price. A joint venture of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and Reuters, called Fxmarketspace opened in 2007 and aspired but failed to the role of a central market clearing mechanism.

The main trading center is London, but New York, Tokyo, Hong Kong and Singapore are all important centers as well. Banks throughout the world participate. Currency trading happens continuously throughout the day; as the Asian trading session ends, the European session begins, followed by the North American session and then back to the Asian session, excluding weekends.

Fluctuations in exchange rates are usually caused by actual monetary flows as well as by expectations of changes in monetary flows caused by changes in gross domestic product (GDP) growth, inflation (purchasing power parity theory), interest rates (interest rate parity, Domestic Fisher effect, International Fisher effect), budget and trade deficits or surpluses, large cross-border M&A deals and other macroeconomic conditions. Major news is released publicly, often on scheduled dates, so many people have access to the same news at the same time. However, the large banks have an important advantage; they can see their customers' order flow.

Currencies are traded against one another. Each currency pair thus constitutes an individual trading product and is traditionally noted XXXYYY or XXX/YYY, where XXX and YYY are the ISO 4217 international three-letter code of the currencies involved. The first currency (XXX) is the base currency that is quoted relative to the second currency (YYY), called the counter currency (or quote currency). For instance, the quotation EURUSD (EUR/USD) 1.5465 is the price of the euro expressed in US dollars, meaning 1 euro = 1.5465 dollars. Historically, the base currency was the stronger currency at the creation of the pair. However, when the euro was created, the European Central Bank mandated that it always be the base currency in any pairing.

The factors affecting XXX will affect both XXXYYY and XXXZZZ. This causes positive currency correlation between XXXYYY and XXXZZZ.

On the spot market, according to the BIS study, the most heavily traded products were:
EURUSD: 27%
USDJPY: 13%
GBPUSD (also called cable): 12%

and the US currency was involved in 86.3% of transactions, followed by the euro (37.0%), the yen (17.0%), and sterling (15.0%) (see table). Volume percentages for all individual currencies should add up to 200%, as each transaction involves two currencies.

Trading in the euro has grown considerably since the currency's creation in January 1999, and how long the foreign exchange market will remain dollar-centered is open to debate. Until recently, trading the euro versus a non-European currency ZZZ would have usually involved two trades: EURUSD and USDZZZ. The exception to this is EURJPY, which is an established traded currency pair in the interbank spot market. As the dollar's value has eroded during 2008, interest in using the euro as reference currency for prices in commodities (such as oil), as well as a larger component of foreign reserves by banks, has increased dramatically. Transactions in the currencies of commodity-producing countries, such as AUD, NZD, CAD, have also increased.

Forex

The foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market) is a worldwide decentralized over-the-counter financial market for the trading of currencies. Financial centers around the world function as anchors of trading between a wide range of different types of buyers and sellers around the clock, with the exception of weekends.

The purpose of the foreign exchange market 'Forex' is to assist international trade and investment. The foreign exchange market allows businesses to convert one currency to another foreign currency. For example, it permits a U.S. business to import European goods and pay Euros, even though the business's income is in U.S. dollars. Some experts, however, believe that the unchecked speculative movement of currencies by large financial institutions such as hedge funds impedes the markets from correcting global current account imbalances. This carry trade may also lead to loss of competitiveness in some countries. [1]

In a typical foreign exchange transaction a party purchases a quantity of one currency by paying a quantity of another currency. The modern foreign exchange market started forming during the 1970s when countries gradually switched to floating exchange rates from the previous exchange rate regime, which remained fixed as per the Bretton Woods system.

The foreign exchange market is unique because of
trading volume results in market liquidity
geographical dispersion
continuous operation: 24 hours a day except weekends, i.e. trading from 20:15 UTC on Sunday until 22:00 UTC Friday
the variety of factors that affect exchange rates
the low margins of relative profit compared with other markets of fixed income
the use of leverage to enhance profit margins with respect to account size

As such, it has been referred to as the market closest to the ideal perfect competition, notwithstanding market manipulation by central banks.[citation needed] According to the Bank for International Settlements,[2] average daily turnover in global foreign exchange markets is estimated at $3.98 trillion as of April 2007. Trading in the world's main financial markets accounted for $3.21 trillion of this. This approximately $3.21 trillion in main foreign exchange market turnover was broken down as follows:
$1.005 trillion in spot transactions
$362 billion in outright forwards
$1.714 trillion in foreign exchange swaps
$129 billion estimated gaps in reporting

Saturday, March 6, 2010

Foreign exchange market

The foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market) is a worldwide decentralized over-the-counter financial market for the trading of currencies. Financial centers around the world function as anchors of trading between a wide range of different types of buyers and sellers around the clock, with the exception of weekends.

The purpose of the foreign exchange market 'Forex' is to assist international trade and investment. The foreign exchange market allows businesses to convert one currency to another foreign currency. For example, it permits a U.S. business to import European goods and pay Euros, even though the business's income is in U.S. dollars. Some experts, however, believe that the unchecked speculative movement of currencies by large financial institutions such as hedge funds impedes the markets from correcting global current account imbalances. This carry trade may also lead to loss of competitiveness in some countries. [1]

In a typical foreign exchange transaction a party purchases a quantity of one currency by paying a quantity of another currency. The modern foreign exchange market started forming during the 1970s when countries gradually switched to floating exchange rates from the previous exchange rate regime, which remained fixed as per the Bretton Woods system.


Technical Analysis Discounts Everything Especially in Forex Minimal Rate Inconsistency

There are many large players in the forex market, such as hedge funds and large banks, that all have advanced computer systems to constantly monitor any inconsistencies between the different currency pairs. Given these programs, it is rare to see any major inconsistency last longer than a matter of seconds. Many traders turn to forex technical analysis because it presumes that all the factors that influence a price - economic, political, social and psychological - have already been factored into the current exchange rate by the market. With so many investors and so much money exchanging hands each day, the trend and flow of capital is what becomes important, rather than attempting to identify a mispriced rate.

Trend or Range
One of the greatest goals of technical traders in the FX market is to determine whether a given pair will trend in a certain direction, or if it will travel sideways and remain range-bound. The most common method to determine these characteristics is to draw trend lines that connect historical levels that have prevented a rate from heading higher or lower. These levels of support and resistance are used by technical traders to determine whether or not the given trend, or lack of trend,



Managed Forex Trading

A managed forex trading account makes life of an investor simpler. It’s planned for investors that do have little time to handle their trading activities. There are quite a few institutions that will offer this aspect to their clients. A managed trading account is preferred by investors who want to get into the extremely gainful forex market without include stress over the learning curve.

Since forex market is quite complex in nature and with the requirement of education of the basics to gain success in forex market, it could be quite burden on the individual who is wishing to take on this chance. A managed trading account lets the trader’s funds to be observed by someone who is a specialized in the arena of trading the market.

There are numerous kinds of managed trading accounts. One of them is accounts that are handled by computer programmed robots. A dealer using this category of managed account needs no human interference with trading the market. This has benefit as taking away the touching trading that could come in existence when making optional trades. These automated systems are automated by professional individuals and typically sold to investors who want to have their accounts managed. It executes completely on the technical instructions and logic set by professionals. This makes trading the forex market actually easy.

Another category of managed forex trading account is where an investor allows a professional to manage their account. Every implementation decision is prepared by a professional who takes his decisions on his know-how of the markets. The money in the account stays the same as if the investor is trading the account on their own and can take away their funds at any time. A managed forex trading account is unlike mutual funds where you are putting in one investor’s money with other investors funds to get advantageous results. They are shaped to exclusively benefit the direct investor. This even makes things easier in forex trading for the investor.



Spot Forex Trading

Forex trading is entirely a motive to gain profit by investing your funds into other type of currencies, which helps to gain interest for the difference in moment in time and trading various currencies. Forex trading includes other kinds of assets; however since trade with other currencies, the commonest method is money. There are various types of forex trading accounts, and variety of methods that you can use with the market. Spot forex trading is a method where you only put in a less in one currency, or in diverse areas on the foreign market. You can better control the amount of money you spend, and prevent the chance of losing a major part your investments.

If you have a dealt with forex trading account, the account permits you to select between different packages and pick the one that is most excellent for you. You must clearly describe your investment objective and decide on a plan that is chiefly probable to deliver the outcome that you are wanting. Anybody who is new to the investing world can get a lot of recommendation and insight from experts who have been implicated with the marketplace for years. Even those who have knowledge in investment and buying and selling forex still admire the thought of having a managed trading account to help observe the markets and warn them when they about how should they make business.

There is no straightforward choice when it comes to the technique of forex trading that you do. Some people prefer to carry out spot forex trading while others like better to contain a managed account that is distribution their money out over diverse countries and currencies. A large portion of what method will turn out to be successful depends on the level of understanding that you have trading in the market, and how well do you know about the various values of currencies. Forex trading accounts are also an outstanding alternative for investors who are specialized traders and seller who have developed investing stratagem and are searching for more protection and be able to present their services on a global marketplace.

When you decide to open a forex trading account, and make your mind up to do spot forex trading, or have the direction of a managed account, you ought to go through the various tutorials and courses offered on the internet. These courses guide you to better comprehend the value of currencies, and the way the foreign market trades are controlled and traded. With experience and familiarity, you can recognize what amount of money is needed to make with forex trading. Gain knowledge of what can be done by you to make better investment preferences and bring in more profits.



Interbank Forex Trading

When you are thinking about opening a forex trading account but are not sure what kind of accounts are available and how the foreign market works, there are a few things that you should be aware of to help you get a better understanding. First, you should know that there is not one bank that controls the entire market. With forex trading, many banks, companies and investors make up the entire trading aspect. Interbank forex trading is a group of banks and companies from all over the world, in different countries that manage the forex trading market.

This structure of interbank forex trading allows for there to be all kinds of currencies to be traded, unlike the stock market or other markets in countries where you can only use one form of currency. With forex trading accounts, you can trade in different currencies. This is why it is very important that you have a clear understanding of how the value between currencies fluctuate.

The forex trading market is an international market exchange system that involves investors and traders from all over the world. It is similar to the stock market, but on a much larger scale. It includes all different currencies, and there is a lot to learn in order to be successful with forex trading. One of the best and easiest ways that you can gain a lot of valuable knowledge and insight is by taking an online courses or tutorials. These courses and tutorials are available online and can be downloaded for your convenience. They cover a wide variety of topics, and you are sure to find a lot of good information and tips that you would not have otherwise been aware of.

Interbank forex trading involves the opportunity for you to trade in different currencies. One of the aspects of the forex trading market is that you can trade one currency against another, and you can also trade that currency into another one in order to help build up more money and better interest every day. This is one of the many aspects of the foreign exchange that you should be familiar with when you are going to start your trading online. In order to be as successful as you can with trading on the forex market, you need to have a thorough understanding of how it is set up, and about the different trades that you can perform. The more that you learn about how forex trading works, the better chance that you have of getting a good return on your trading and being successful in the market.



Forex Trading

Foreign exchange, or forex trading is simply the simultaneous purchase and sale of one country's currency for the currency of another country. Forex trading is always done in currency pairs. As the value of one currency rises or falls relative to another, traders decide to buy or sell currencies in order to make profit. The foreign exchange market is the largest financial market in the world with a daily turnover of more than $1.4 trillion, making it the most exciting and accessible market for trading. As the forex market works 24-hours a day, 5 days a week, it also has the highest liquidity and is easy to trade in any economic environment.

FOREXYARD caters to a wide range of investors, offering a wide variety of forex currency pairs, including all the major pairs, and commodities, including gold, silver and crude oil. FOREXYARD provides a secure, trader-friendly platform for immediate online forex trading, without the need to download software. Through our advanced rapid platform, experienced and first-time investors can access live quotes, real-time charts and news and analysis. All our clients benefit from dedicated 24-hour support for technical help and market advice. Start trading with the 20 forex currency pairs and 3 commodities offered below.



How an FX Trade Works

In the FX market you can buy or sell one currency for another. When you buy a currency, you are said to be "long" in that currency and when you sell a currency, you are said to be "short" in that currency. As the value of one currency rises or falls relative to another, traders decide to buy or sell currencies in order to make profits - since the objective is to earn a profit from their position. Placing a trade in the foreign exchange market is simple and the mechanics of a trade are virtually identical to those found in other markets. Because of the symmetry of currency transactions, you are always simultaneously long in one currency and short in another. An open position is one that is live and ongoing. As long as the position is open, its value will fluctuate in accordance with the exchange rate in the market. To close out your position, you conduct an equal and opposite trade in the same currency pair. For example, if you have gone long in one lot of EUR/USD you can close out that position by subsequently going short in one EUR/USD lot (at the prevailing bid price).



The Forex market (OTC)

The Forex OTC market is by far the biggest and most popular financial market in the world, traded globally by a large number of individuals and organizations. In the OTC market, participants determine who they want to trade with depending on trading conditions, attractiveness of prices and reputation of the trading counterpart.

The chart below shows global foreign exchange activity. The dollar is the most traded currency, being on one side of 89% of all transactions. The Euro’s share is second at 37%, while that of the yen is at 20%.



Traded on the Foreign Exchange market?

The simple answer is money. Forex trading is the simultaneous buying of one currency and the selling of another. Currencies are traded through a broker or dealer, and are traded in pairs; for example the euro and the US dollar (EUR/USD) or the British pound and the Japanese Yen (GBP/JPY).

Because you’re not buying anything physical, this kind of trading can be confusing. Think of buying a currency as buying a share in a particular country. When you buy, say, Japanese Yen, you are in effect buying a share in the Japanese economy, as the price of the currency is a direct reflection of what the market thinks about the current and future health of the Japanese economy.



What is FOREX?

The Foreign Exchange market, also referred to as the “FOREX” or “Forex” or “Retail forex” or “FX” or “Spot FX” or just “Spot” is the largest financial market in the world, with a volume of over $4 trillion a day. If you compare that to the $25 billion a day volume that the New York Stock Exchange trades, you can easily see how enormous the Foreign Exchange really is. It actually equates to more than three times the total amount of the stocks and futures markets combined! Forex rocks!